Downward trend continues, but new cases still appearing

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COVID-19 Coronavirus in Page County, Virginia
Page Valley News will have continuing coverage of the Coronavirus' impact on Page County.

By Randy Arrington

LURAY, June 15 — The Lord Fairfax Health District continues to show a decline in the number of new COVID-19 cases being reported each day.

Only one new hospitalization related to the pandemic was reported in the five-county health district over the last two days (Warren County), and no new deaths related to the coronavirus have been reported in three days, according to the Virginia Department of Health.

Frederick County had the highest total for new cases with a dozen COVID-19 cases reported in the last three days. Shenandoah County saw six new cases during that period, Winchester had five, Warren three, Page had two and Clarke only one.

The 29 new cases of COVID-19 reported within the health district in the last three days brings the cumulative total up to 1,732 since the first case of the coronavirus was reported in mid-March. There have also been a total of 147 people hospitalized in the district due to the pandemic, and 61 deaths.

A breakdown by jurisdiction of the health district’s total cases of COVID-19 is as follows (hospitalizations – deaths):

  • 511 — Shenandoah County (51-26)
  • 435 — Frederick County (30-4)
  • 265 — City of Winchester (19-3)
  • 252 — Page County (28-24)
  • 231 — Warren County (15-4)
  • 38 — Clarke County (4-0)

A look at the trend of new cases in Page County (using ZIP code data) shows the majority are surfacing in Luray, with eight new cases of COVID-19 credited to the 22835 ZIP code in the last week. Shenandoah (22849) has seen five new cases, while the Stanley area (22851) has not had a new case reported in nine days. A ZIP code breakdown of cases and testing (as of June 14) follows:

  • 22835 (Luray) — 151 cases, 507 tests, 29.8% positivity rate;
  • 22851 (Stanley) — 66 cases, 183 tests, 36.1% positivity rate;
  • 22849 (Shenandoah) — 30 cases, 200 tests, 15% positivity rate.

The 22650 (Rileyville) ZIP code data has once again been suppressed by VDH because of the low number of cases and the size of the community. The state takes precautions to protect patients’ privacy by suppressing certain data. The last report made public for the 22650 ZIP code showed five cases of COVID-19, with 14 tests administered. While the number of cases remains suppressed, the number of tests administered has risen to 17.

Harrisonburg and Rockingham County reported 21 new cases over the weekend; however, daily increases remain in the single digits. Four new hospitalizations were reported over the weekend, but no new deaths have been reported there in four days.

Statewide, 380 new cases of COVID-19 were reported on Monday. That figure represents a downward trend over the past three days and is far below the peak of 1,615 new cases reported on May 26 — just three weeks ago.

The Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association reported Monday that 902 people are currently hospitalized that have either been confirmed to have COVID-19 or are awaiting test results. That figure has fallen below 1,000 for a third consecutive day for the first time since late March. The number of people hospitalized In Virginia due to the coronavirus has declined for eight consecutive days.

Among those hospitalized, 269 are in intensive care, down 28 since Friday; and 130 are on ventilators, down 13 since Friday.

Since the pandemic began, VHHA also reports that 7,230 people who have been confirmed to have COVID-19 and were hospitalized, have been discharged.

VDH reported six new deaths related to the pandemic on Monday, bringing the total in Virginia to 1,552 since March 14. Four of the last five days saw daily death tolls remain in the single digits. Virginia’s peak came on May 28, when 57 pandemic-related deaths were reported in a single day.

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